白宫经济顾问哈塞特称失业率将接近大萧条

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett says unemployment rate will approach Great Depression

发布于:2020年04月26日 | 转载自:CNBC

Key Points: White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett says that job losses from the coronavirus per week are equal to total job losses caused by the financial crisis of 2008-2009.More than 26 million Americans have filed jobless claims.Hassett headed President Trump's Council of Economic Advisors for several years and recently returned to assist in the coronavirus response.Eddie Rodriguez (R) and other City of Hialeah employees hand out unemployment applications to people in their vehicles in front of the John F. Kennedy Library on April 08, 2020 in Hialeah, Florida.

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett warned on Sunday that unemployment could hit levels not seen since the Great Depression as the economy contracts dramatically while businesses in most parts of the nation remain shuttered due to the coronavirus pandemic

Speaking to reporters on the White House lawn on Sunday morning, Hassett said the unemployment rate could hit 16% and "the next couple of months are going to be terrible" for economic data.

"We see an unemployment rate that approaches rates we saw during the Great Depression," Hassett told ABC's "This Week." "During the Great Recession we lost 8.7 million jobs in the whole thing. Now we're losing that many every 10 days, so the lift for economic policy makers is an extraordinary one."

Hassett described the coronavirus shutdown as "the biggest negative shock that our economy I think has ever seen."

President Donald Trump said earlier this week that in a phone call with Apple CEO Tim Cook, the tech leader said he expected a V-shaped recovery, meaning a quick rebound after a sharp fall. Hassett said on ABC that a V-shaped recovery will depend on the next response from the federal government.

"A lot will depend on what happens next," Hassett said about the chances of seeing a V-shaped economic rebound rather than a longer U-shaped return to economic growth. "What we've done with the previous legislation is built a bridge hopefully to the other side of the disease, but then we have to make sure we have what it takes to prosper. "

Hassett told ABC, "Over the next three to four weeks, everyone will pull together to come up with a plan to give us the best chance possible for a V-shaped recovery."

The insured unemployment rate, which compares those current receiving benefits to the size of the labor force, rose to 11% this past week, a weekly jump of 2.8%. That translates to "a barely believable" 23% when the Labor Department releases its unemployment rate calculation in two weeks, according to Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics. The previous high for the U.S. was 24.9% during the Great Depression.

"You're going to see numbers as bad as we've ever seen," Hassett said. "GDP growth in second quarter is going to be negative. Wall Street estimates are negative 20%, 30%. We've done something unprecedented, stopped everything, output [has] gone to zero."

VIDEO11:4611:46Full interview with White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow on reopening the economySquawk Box

原文地址:https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/26/coronavirus-hassett-says-unemployment-will-approach-great-depression.html

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